A · CURRENT FORECAST
15% distribution WAPE
0% total-hours bias
FROM FORECAST TO FINANCIAL IMPACT
What is better forecasting worth?
Compare two forecasts against the same demand. See where hours and sales are lost.
B · ALTERNATIVE FORECAST
10% distribution WAPE
0% total-hours bias
Profit improvement · B versus A
€840/ week
At an illustrative 40% contribution margin
Recovered sales opportunity
€2,100
Same total labour budget
Less wasted labour cost
€420
Hours better aligned with demand
Where the hours go
One representative store · required and generated staffing, interval by interval.
RequiredScenario AScenario B
The weekly business case
Wasted wages are part of payroll, not an additional expense.
What if the total hours are wrong?
Keep each distribution fixed and vary the total-hours bias.